Analysts see potential for SUI and APT to climb to $16 and $22, respectively, by year-end 2025, driven by increasing adoption, network growth, and improving market sentiment.
Sui (SUI) and Aptos (APT), both based on Meta’s Diem project, could see their prices grow by 4x and 2.9x, respectively, by the end of 2025, according to a Jan. 29 price analysis by Patrick Bush, senior investment analyst at VanEck.
While the both are still working on establishing their presence in the crypto space and haven’t reached the level of Ethereum (ETH) or Solana (SOL) in terms of developer or cultural adoption, Sui may offer a set of technical capabilities and economics that “prove more attractive to market markers,” says Bush.
Together, Sui and Aptos made up less than 4% of active crypto developers in early 2024, with Sui averaging 280 weekly developers and Aptos 272. Bush notes that the figure is far behind Ethereum’s 3,300 and Solana’s 1,200. But when it comes to retail interest, Sui leads.
“In fact, in the last 90 days, global search interest for Sui was higher than it was for Solana on 17 days and higher than Ethereum on 16 days.”
Patrick Bush
Sui stands out in terms of trading efficiency. Its programmable transaction blocks can handle up to 1,024 commands at once, which makes decentralized exchange operations smoother than on Aptos or Ethereum. However, there are still hurdles on the path for the both networks, Bush notes.
“The consequence of the relatively anemic development community of Aptos and Sui is that neither can boast of a truly differentiated, successful application.”
Patrick Bush
Both Sui and Aptos have similar token models, but Sui’s is capped, while Aptos has an inflationary system with 6.7% annual issuance that decreases over time. Their storage fees also work differently, with Sui locking part of its supply permanently to reward validators. Both networks are also facing big token unlocks soon: Aptos will release 11.9% ($1.2 billion) of its supply in 2026, while Sui will unlock 7.6% ($3.65 billion), which could put pressure on their prices.
VanEck projects Sui and Aptos will capture a larger share of the smart contract platform market by the end of 2025, with the total SCP market capitalization expected to grow to $1.1 trillion. Based on past trends and the U.S. money supply, Bush estimates Sui will reach a market cap of $61 billion, with its token price rising to about $16, a 326% increase. Aptos is expected to hit a market cap of $11 billion, bringing its token price to $22, a 201% gain from where it’s now.
